Basic
Book of Options Basic: Stock
Stock
A
stock is simply a unit of ownership in a company.
How
Stock is Priced?
The
price of a company's stock is based on the net value of the company
(assets minus liabilities) PLUS some amount over or
under the net value. There are dozens of statistical formulas to
assist in calculating what a stock is worth. For example, the “P/E
ratio” is one of the more familiar terms you will hear when talking
about stocks. This is simply the price of the stock (say $50)
divided by its earnings per share (say $2.90) –
or how much the company makes.
Three
main schools of thought regarding stock evaluation:
A)
Technical Analysis
Technical
analysis is the study of charts and past price movement of stocks in
the attempt to glean a forward looking guidance to future stock
movement.
B)
Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental
analysis is the more scientific method of determining future stock
prices via the use of ratios and statistics as illustrated in Figure
1.3 ratios.
C)
Random Walk Theory
Random
Walk (RW)
theory is the mathematical
formalization of successive movements in order to explain stocks,
psychology, physics, biology, economics and chemistry. RW theory has
also been called “the drunkard's walk” because the markets move
in a random fashion and cannot be predicted. Since Princeton
Economist Burton Milkiel wrote the text “A Random Walk Down Wall
Street” in 1973, RW theory has been accepted as fact by many
economists and large proprietary trading firms. Random Walk Trading
believes that evaluating stocks and trying to predict the future is
too slow and difficult
of a method for making money in the markets (for
all but a select elite group of individuals).
It is our belief that winning in the stock market can be best
accomplished through superior strategies. More extensive material can
be found in any library or bookstore if interested in further
reading.
How
Money is Made on Stock?
A.
Buying Stock
- Money is made on stock as the price of the stock increases if you
own the shares. The formula is very simple. All you have to do is
multiply the number of shares by the amount of the move, and this
will tell you how much you have made (or
lost on the stock).
B.
Short Selling Stock
- Money can also be made on selling stocks that you do not own. This
sounds almost illegal, but it is not. It is actually done all the
time in business.
Often
people with little or no knowledge of stocks and/or options have a
strong suspicion that a certain stock may decline in price by a large
amount. You hear, for example, that there may be an accounting
irregularity at a firm called Enron. Despite the superior reputation
for excellence, brilliance and ethics that Enron has, you know what
devastation even false rumors can have on the price of a stock.
Certainly there must be a way to profit from the inevitable decline
in the price of the stock before these false rumors are cleared in
the next few months and this wonderful stock bounces? Typically,
people buy a stock and then sell it after it goes higher. Here we are
going to do the same thing, just in the reverse order. We will sell a
stock when it is high and close the transaction when buying it back
at a lower price. This is called “short selling”.
As
stated, the process works the exact same way that buying a stock to
sell at a higher price works, just in reverse. Technically, though
you need not concern yourself with the details, you have to “borrow
the stock” from someone in order to sell it. Once borrowed, the
stock is then sold and you can buy it back anytime you want. At the
time you buy back the stock to close the transaction, you then
deliver the shares back to the person you borrowed it from and the
transaction is closed. The difference between where you sold it and
bought it back is the profit (or loss).
Full text is available in the Random Walk Trading website
Other
Topics:
- Stock
- Options
- Options in Action
- The Greeks
- Naked Options
- Straddles & Strangles
- Vertical Spreads
- Vertical Spreads Criteria
- Stock Protection
- Shaving Bid-Ask Spread
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